Marist Institute for Public Opinion
Marist College
l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l (914) 575-5050
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Thursday, October 7, 1999
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
Marist College
(914) 575-5050
This Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
Rudy vs. Hillary: The Gap Narrows
Question Wording: If the next election for U.S. Senate in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat?
|
Registered Voters |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
October 1999 |
46% |
42% |
12% |
September 1999 |
49% |
40% |
11% |
July 1999 |
47% |
41% |
12% |
April 1999 |
43% |
43% |
14% |
March 26, 1999 |
46% |
48% |
6% |
March 3, 1999 |
45% |
50% |
5% |
February 1999 |
38% |
49% |
13% |
January 1999 |
42% |
52% |
6% |
|
Registered Voters |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
|
Region 10/99 |
|||
|
Upstate |
53% |
32% |
15% |
|
New York City |
26% |
66% |
8% |
|
Suburbs |
58% |
30% |
12% |
|
Gender 10/99 |
|||
|
Men |
52% |
37% |
11% |
|
Women |
41% |
46% |
13% |
|
Party 10/99 |
|||
|
Democrat |
23% |
67% |
10% |
|
Republican |
71% |
19% |
10% |
|
Independent |
57% |
31% |
12% |
|
Registered Voters |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Hillary Clinton |
Undecided |
|
Race 10/99 |
|||
|
White |
56% |
33% |
11% |
|
Black |
9% |
82% |
9% |
|
Latino |
23% |
49% |
28% |
|
Religion 10/99 |
|||
|
Protestant |
48% |
41% |
11% |
|
Catholic |
52% |
35% |
13% |
|
White Catholic |
60% |
29% |
11% |
|
Jewish |
38% |
53% |
9% |
Question Wording: Would you say you strongly support Rudolph Giuliani/Hillary Clinton, somewhat support him/her, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?
|
Registered Voters |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
October 1999 |
52% |
30% |
15% |
3% |
September 1999 |
58% |
27% |
12% |
3% |
Rudolph Giuliani Supporters |
||||
October 1999 |
51% |
30% |
15% |
4% |
September 1999 |
59% |
26% |
12% |
3% |
Hillary Clinton Supporters |
||||
October 1999 |
53% |
31% |
14% |
2% |
September 1999 |
57% |
29% |
12% |
2% |
Question Wording: Please tell me if you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of each of the following:
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
|
Rudolph Giuliani |
|
|
|
|
October 1999 |
51% |
39% |
10% |
|
September 1999 |
58% |
30% |
12% |
|
April 1999 |
51% |
27% |
22% |
|
March 26, 1999 |
50% |
32% |
18% |
|
February 1999 |
61% |
25% |
14% |
|
January 1999 |
53% |
36% |
11% |
|
Hillary Clinton |
|
|
|
|
October 1999 |
50% |
39% |
11% |
|
September 1999 |
53% |
40% |
7% |
|
April 1999 |
54% |
33% |
13% |
|
March 26, 1999 |
56% |
33% |
11% |
|
February 1999 |
68% |
27% |
5% |
|
January 1999 |
66% |
32% |
2% |
Fallout Over The Brooklyn Museum of Art Controversy?
Question Wording: The Brooklyn Museum of Art has opened an exhibit that includes a controversial painting of the Virgin Mary. Mayor Rudolph Giuliani finds it offensive and is trying to cut off city funding to the museum. The museum says withdrawing the money violates its first amendment rights. Has your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani gotten better, gotten worse, or remained about the same as a result of how he has handled this issue?
Registered Voters |
Better |
Worse |
About the Same |
October 1999 |
21% |
30% |
49% |
Question Wording: Whose position comes closer to your opinion: Hillary Clinton believes the exhibit is offensive but it is not right to cut off funds to the Brooklyn Museum of Art,
Rudolph Giuliani believes the exhibit is offensive and wants to cut off city funding to the museum?
Registered Voters |
Hillary Clinton |
Rudolph Giuliani |
Unsure |
October 1999 |
59% |
33% |
8% |
Carpetbagger vs. Welcome Mat
Question Wording: If Hillary Clinton decides to run for the U.S. Senate in New York State, are you concerned a great deal, somewhat, not very much, or not at all, about the fact that she is not from New York State?
|
Registered Voters |
A Great Deal |
Somewhat |
Not Very Much |
Not At All |
October 1999 |
26% |
24% |
11% |
39% |
September 1999 |
27% |
24% |
13% |
36% |
July 1999 |
32% |
20% |
11% |
37% |
April 1999 |
29% |
22% |
12% |
37% |
February 1999 |
25% |
21% |
14% |
40% |
Nature of the Sample: 702 New York State Registered Voters
This survey was conducted on October 3rd and 4th, 1999. 702 registered voters were interviewed in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New York State and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The results for the entire sample are statistically significant at ± 4%. The margin of error increases for cross-tabulations.
|
Race |
Party |
||
|
White |
78% |
Democrat |
44% |
|
Black |
12% |
Republican |
31% |
|
Latino |
7% |
Independent |
19% |
|
Asian |
2% |
Conservative |
3% |
|
Other |
1% |
Liberal |
2% |
|
Other |
1% |
||
|
Religion |
Ideology |
||
|
Protestant |
32% |
Liberal |
26% |
|
Catholic |
50% |
Moderate |
40% |
|
Jewish |
9% |
Conservative |
34% |
|
Other |
9% |
||
|
Gender (weighted) |
Region |
||
|
Men |
48% |
Upstate |
45% |
|
Women |
52% |
New York City |
30% |
|
Suburbs |
25% |