Marist
Institute for Public Opinion
Marist
College l Poughkeepsie, N.Y. 12601 l
845.575.5050
Contact:
Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr.
Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This
Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll reports:
·
Connecticut
Senator Joseph Lieberman and Massachusetts Senator John Kerry are the early
leaders for the 2004 New York State Democratic Presidential Primary.
Among registered Democrats, Lieberman has 23% and Kerry has 20%.
·
Senator
Lieberman attracts the greatest share of former supporters of Al Gore.
31% of New York State Democrats who were backing Al Gore now say they
support Lieberman.
Question Wording: If the next Democratic
presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates
are:
|
|
Lieberman |
Kerry |
Sharpton |
Gephardt |
Daschle |
Edwards |
Dean |
Und. |
|
Democrats |
23% |
20% |
14% |
11% |
9% |
3% |
1% |
19% |
|
Gore Backers |
31% |
10% |
16% |
14% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
13% |
·
59% of
New York State Democrats do not want Senator Hillary Clinton to run for
president in 2004.
Question Wording: Do you want Hillary
Clinton to run for president in 2004 or not?
|
|
Yes |
No |
Unsure |
|
Democrats |
37% |
59% |
4% |
·
57% of
New York State Democrats are more likely to vote for a presidential candidate
who is endorsed by former President Bill Clinton and 24% are less likely to do
so.
Question
Wording: Are
you more or less likely to vote for a candidate for president who has been
endorsed by former President Bill Clinton?
|
|
More Likely |
Less Likely |
No Difference |
Unsure |
Democrats
|
57% |
24% |
17% |
2% |
·
36% of
registered voters in New York State definitely plan to vote to re-elect
President George Bush and 40% definitely plan to vote against him.
New York voters divide along party lines.
Question Wording: Do you definitely plan to
vote for George Bush for re-election as president or do you definitely plan to
vote against him?
|
Registered
Voters |
Vote For |
Vote Against |
Unsure |
|
December
2002 |
36% |
40% |
24% |
|
Democrats |
18% |
64% |
18% |
|
Republicans |
58% |
14% |
28% |
|
Non-enrolled |
32% |
40% |
28% |
·
President
Bush’s approval rating is currently 57% among New York State's registered
voters. 42% do not rate his job
performance positively.
Question Wording: Would you rate the job President George Bush is doing in office as
excellent, good, fair, or poor?
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent/ Good |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/ DK |
|
December 2002 |
57% |
24% |
33% |
23% |
19% |
1% |
·
Senator
Charles Schumer leads John Faso but trails Rudy Giuliani in hypothetical
match-ups for the U.S. Senate contest in New York in 2004.
Question
Wording: If
the 2004 election for U.S. Senate in New York were held today, whom
would
you support if the candidates are:
|
Registered
Voters |
Charles Schumer |
John Faso |
Undecided |
|
December
2002 |
64% |
24% |
12% |
|
Registered
Voters |
Charles Schumer |
Rudy Giuliani |
Undecided |
|
December
2002 |
37% |
58% |
5% |
·
Senator
Charles Schumer’s approval rating is currently 53% among New York State's
registered voters. 36% do not rate
his job performance positively.
Question Wording: Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as
excellent, good, fair, or poor?
|
Registered Voters |
Excellent/ Good |
Excellent |
Good |
Fair |
Poor |
Unsure/ DK |
|
December 2002 |
53% |
11% |
42% |
28% |
8% |
11% |
This
survey was conducted from December 4th through 9th, 2002.
817 registered voters were interviewed by telephone in proportion to the
registration in each county in the state and adjusted for turnout in comparable
elections. There are 371 registered Democrats. Results are statistically
significant at ±3.5% for registered voters and ±5% for Democrats. The error margin increases
for cross-tabulations.