New York City Race for Mayor

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:  Friday 6:00 p.m. November 4, 2005

All references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll

 

Contact:           Dr. Lee M. Miringoff

Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho

Marist College

845.575.5050

 

This WNBC/Marist Poll reports:

·                    Bloomberg has a formidable lead over Ferrer:  As the campaign enters its final weekend, Michael Bloomberg has a 34 point lead over Fernando Ferrer.  Among New York City voters likely to vote next week, the mayor receives 64% compared with 30% for Ferrer.  Three percent of likely voters plan to support Conservative Party candidate Thomas Ognibene, and 3% are undecided.

 

Question Wording: If the November election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

 

 

 

Michael Bloomberg Republican

Fernando Ferrer

Democrat

Thomas Ognibene Conservative

 

 

Undecided

Likely Voters

 

 

 

 

November 4, 2005

64%

30%

  3%

  3%

 w/ leaners

65%

30%

  3%

  2%

November 1, 2005

62%

31%

  3%

  4%

October 2005

59%

32%

  1%

  8%

September 2005

53%

38%

  1%

  8%

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

November 4, 2005

62%

31%

  3%

  4%

November 1, 2005

59%

31%

  3%

  7%

October 2005

56%

33%

  2%

  9%

September 2005

50%

37%

  2%

11%

August 2005

52%

36%

n.a.

12%

July 2005

52%

36%

n.a.

12%

June 10, 2005

45%

46%

n.a.

  9%

June 2, 2005

49%

40%

n.a.

11%

April 2005

51%

38%

n.a.

11%

March 2005

42%

49%

n.a.

  9%

December 2004

39%

51%

n.a.

10%

September 2004

43%

47%

n.a.

10%

April 2004

41%

48%

n.a.

11%

 

·                    Most voters strongly support their choice for mayor:  72% of likely voters who have a preference in the race for mayor are firmly committed to their choice.  19% say they somewhat support their choice, and only 7% say they might vote differently on Election Day.  Two percent are unsure.  78% of Mayor Bloomberg’s supporters say they are firmly committed to him compared with 59% of Fernando Ferrer’s supporters who say they are firmly committed to their choice.

 

Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate name),

somewhat support (candidate name), or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?

 

 

Likely Voters

Strongly Support

Somewhat Support

Might Vote Differently

 

Unsure

November 4, 2005

72%

19%

  7%

  2%

 Michael Bloomberg

78%

17%

  4%

  1%

 Fernando Ferrer

59%

25%

13%

  3%

November 1, 2005

69%

23%

  7%

  1%

 Michael Bloomberg

74%

23%

  2%

  1%

 Fernando Ferrer

60%

22%

15%

  3%

October 2005

67%

22%

  9%

  2%

 Michael Bloomberg

71%

20%

  8%

  1%

 Fernando Ferrer

60%

24%

12%

  4%

 

·                 Most voters say they like Mike:  72% of New York City’s registered voters have a favorable impression of Michael Bloomberg.  For the first time in the campaign for mayor, more voters have an unfavorable view of Fernando Ferrer than have a favorable one.  48% of registered voters have a negative impression of Ferrer compared with 42% who have a positive view of him.  10% are unsure how to rate him.

 

Question Wording: In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Michael Bloomberg/Fernando Ferrer?

 

 

Registered Voters

 

Favorable

 

Unfavorable

Unsure/

Never Heard

Michael Bloomberg

 

 

 

 November 4, 2005

72%

26%

  2%

 November 1, 2005

71%

24%

  5%

 October 2005

69%

27%

  4%

 September 2005

64%

30%

  6%

Fernando Ferrer

 

 

 

 November 4, 2005

42%

48%

10%

 November 1, 2005

45%

41%

14%

 October 2005

46%

40%

14%

 September 2005

53%

32%

15%

 

·                    Voters think the city is headed in the right direction:  69% of registered voters believe New York City is moving in the right direction.  26% of registered voters think the city is moving in the wrong direction.

 

Question Wording: In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York City, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction?

 

Registered Voters

Right Direction

Wrong Direction

Unsure

November 4, 2005

69%

26%

  5%

November 1, 2005

68%

23%

  9%

October 2005

69%

23%

  8%

September 2005

64%

28%

  8%

August 2005

60%

31%

  9%

July 2005

62%

29%

  9%

June 2005

54%

37%

  9%

 

November 4, 2005