EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Tuesday 6:00 p.m. November 1, 2005
All
references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff
Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This WNBC/Marist Poll reports:
·
Bloomberg outdistances Democratic challenger
Ferrer: With just one week to go before Election Day, Michael Bloomberg has
a formidable lead over his Democratic opponent Fernando Ferrer. Among
Question
Wording: If the November election for mayor in
|
|
Michael Bloomberg
Republican |
Fernando Ferrer Democrat |
Thomas Ognibene
Conservative |
Undecided |
|
Likely Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
November
1, 2005 |
62% |
31% |
3% |
4% |
|
October
2005 |
59% |
32% |
1% |
8% |
|
September
2005 |
53% |
38% |
1% |
8% |
|
Registered Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
November
1, 2005 |
59% |
31% |
3% |
7% |
|
October
2005 |
56% |
33% |
2% |
9% |
|
September
2005 |
50% |
37% |
2% |
11% |
|
August
2005 |
52% |
36% |
n.a. |
12% |
|
July
2005 |
52% |
36% |
n.a. |
12% |
|
June
10, 2005 |
45% |
46% |
n.a. |
9% |
|
June
2, 2005 |
49% |
40% |
n.a. |
11% |
|
April
2005 |
51% |
38% |
n.a. |
11% |
|
March
2005 |
42% |
49% |
n.a. |
9% |
|
December
2004 |
39% |
51% |
n.a. |
10% |
|
September
2004 |
43% |
47% |
n.a. |
10% |
|
April
2004 |
41% |
48% |
n.a. |
11% |
· Behind the numbers: Republican Bloomberg leads Democrat Ferrer by 19 points among Democrats likely to vote next week. Bloomberg receives the support of 57% of likely Democratic voters compared with 38% for Ferrer. Only 4% of likely Democratic voters are undecided. Mayor Bloomberg also receives the support of a majority of African American voters and is neck and neck with Fernando Ferrer among Latino voters.
Question
Wording: If the November election for mayor in
|
|
Michael Bloomberg
Republican |
Fernando Ferrer Democrat |
Thomas Ognibene
Conservative |
Undecided |
|
Likely Voters |
62% |
31% |
3% |
4% |
|
Party |
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
57% |
38% |
1% |
4% |
|
Republican |
93% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|
Non-enrolled |
62% |
28% |
6% |
4% |
|
Race |
|
|
|
|
|
White |
79% |
15% |
4% |
2% |
|
African American |
56% |
35% |
2% |
7% |
|
Latino |
46% |
48% |
1% |
5% |
|
Gender |
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
63% |
28% |
4% |
5% |
|
Women |
61% |
33% |
2% |
4% |
· Most voters are firmly committed to their choice for mayor: 69% of likely voters who have a preference in the race for mayor strongly support their candidate. 23% say they somewhat support their choice, and only 7% say they might vote differently on Election Day. One percent is unsure. 74% of Mayor Bloomberg’s supporters say they are firmly committed to him compared with 60% of Fernando Ferrer’s supporters who say they are firmly committed to their choice.
Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate name),
somewhat support (candidate name), or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?
|
Likely Voters |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
November 1, 2005 |
69% |
23% |
7% |
1% |
|
Michael Bloomberg |
74% |
23% |
2% |
1% |
|
Fernando Ferrer |
60% |
22% |
15% |
3% |
|
October 2005 |
67% |
22% |
9% |
2% |
|
Michael Bloomberg |
71% |
20% |
8% |
1% |
|
Fernando Ferrer |
60% |
24% |
12% |
4% |
·
Most voters have a positive impression of
Mayor Bloomberg: 71% of
Question Wording: In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Michael Bloomberg/Fernando Ferrer?
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/ Never Heard |
|
Michael Bloomberg |
|
|
|
|
November 1, 2005 |
71% |
24% |
5% |
|
October 2005 |
69% |
27% |
4% |
|
September 2005 |
64% |
30% |
6% |
|
Fernando Ferrer |
|
|
|
|
November 1, 2005 |
45% |
41% |
14% |
|
October 2005 |
46% |
40% |
14% |
|
September 2005 |
53% |
32% |
15% |
·
Voters believe the city is headed in the
right direction: 68% of registered
voters believe