New York City Race for Mayor

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:  Wednesday October 12, 2005

All references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll

 

Contact:           Dr. Lee M. Miringoff

Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho

Marist College

845.575.5050

 

This WNBC/Marist Poll reports:

·                    Bloomberg opens up a huge lead over Democratic challenger Ferrer:  Michael Bloomberg outdistances his Democratic opponent former Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer by 27 points.  This is an increase of 12 points in the mayor’s lead since a similar poll conducted two weeks ago.  The mayor receives the support of 59% of city voters likely to vote in November compared with 32% for Ferrer.  One percent of likely voters plan to support Conservative Party candidate Thomas Ognibene, and 8% are undecided.   

 

Question Wording: If the November election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

 

 

 

Michael Bloomberg Republican

Fernando Ferrer

Democrat

Thomas Ognibene Conservative

 

 

Undecided

Likely Voters

 

 

 

 

October 2005

59%

32%

  1%

  8%

  Likely w/ leaners

61%

33%

  1%

  5%

September 2005

53%

38%

  1%

  8%

Registered Voters

 

 

 

 

October 2005

56%

33%

  2%

  9%

September 2005

50%

37%

  2%

11%

August 2005

52%

36%

n.a.

12%

July 2005

52%

36%

n.a.

12%

June 10, 2005

45%

46%

n.a.

  9%

June 2, 2005

49%

40%

n.a.

11%

April 2005

51%

38%

n.a.

11%

March 2005

42%

49%

n.a.

  9%

December 2004

39%

51%

n.a.

10%

September 2004

43%

47%

n.a.

10%

April 2004

41%

48%

n.a.

11%

 

·                    Behind the numbers:  Republican Bloomberg leads Democrat Ferrer among Democrats likely to vote this fall, 50% to 42%.  Only 8% of likely Democratic voters are undecided.  Mayor Bloomberg also receives substantial support among African American voters and has made inroads among Latino voters.    

 

Question Wording: If the November election for mayor in New York City were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

 

 

 

Michael Bloomberg Republican

Fernando Ferrer

Democrat

Thomas Ognibene Conservative

 

 

Undecided

Likely Voters

59%

32%

  1%

  8%

 Party

 

 

 

 

  Democrat

50%

42%

<1%

  8%

  Republican

90%

  6%

  1%

  3%

  Non-enrolled

68%

18%

  2%

12%

 Race

 

 

 

 

  White

71%

21%

  1%

  7%

  African American

53%

37%

<1%

10%

  Latino

42%

47%

<1%

11%

 

·                    Strong support for mayor’s decision to go public with subway terror alert:  84% of registered voters agree with Mayor Bloomberg's decision to go public last week with the possible threat to the city’s subways.

 

Question Wording: Should Mayor Bloomberg have made the recent information about a possible terror attack on the New York City subways public or not?

 

Registered Voters

Yes

No

Unsure

October 2005

84%

13%

  3%

 

·                    Mayor receives high marks for his handling of security from voters:  81% of registered voters approve of the job the mayor has done keeping the city secure from terror attacks an increase of 10 points from a similar poll conducted two weeks ago.  A majority of voters also give the mayor a “thumbs up” on his handling of crime, race relations, economic development, jobs, and the public schools.

 

Question Wording: Do you approve or disapprove of how Mayor Michael Bloomberg is handling each of the following:

 

Registered Voters

Approve

Disapprove

Unsure

Crime

 

 

 

  October 2005

83%

14%

  3%

  September 2005

79%

19%

  2%

Security against terror attack

 

 

 

  October 2005

81%

14%

  5%

  September 2005

71%

22%

  7%

Economic development

 

 

 

  October 2005

65%

29%

  6%

  September 2005

59%

35%

  6%

Race relations

 

 

 

  October 2005

61%

29%

10%

  September 2005

64%

28%

  8%

Public schools

 

 

 

  October 2005

58%

37%

  5%

  September 2005

51%

45%

  4%

Jobs

 

 

 

  October 2005

51%

41%

  8%

  September 2005

53%

41%

  6%

Health care

 

 

 

  October 2005

48%

36%

16%

  September 2005

38%