NYC 2005 Democratic Primary Race
for Mayor
All
references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This WNBC/Marist Poll reports:
· Fernando Ferrer is narrowly ahead in the Democratic primary for mayor: Former Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer narrowly leads his closest opponent Congressman Anthony Weiner by six points among Democrats likely to vote in tomorrow’s primary for mayor. Ferrer receives the support of 35% of likely Democratic voters compared with 29% for Weiner. Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields and Council Speaker Gifford Miller trail with 14% each. 8% of likely Democratic voters are undecided. When undecided likely Democratic voters who lean toward a candidate are included in the results, Fernando Ferrer receives 36%, Anthony Weiner has 29%, C. Virginia Fields has 16%, and Gifford Miller receives 15%. Only 4% of likely Democratic voters remain undecided.
Question Wording: If the Democratic
primary for mayor in
|
|
Ferrer |
Weiner |
Fields |
Miller |
Undecided |
|
Likely Democrats |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 12, 2005 |
35% |
29% |
14% |
14% |
8% |
|
September 9, 2005 |
32% |
30% |
15% |
13% |
10% |
|
September 5, 2005 |
33% |
20% |
14% |
17% |
16% |
|
Likely Dems w/ leaners |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 12, 2005 |
36% |
29% |
16% |
15% |
4% |
|
September 9, 2005 |
33% |
31% |
17% |
14% |
5% |
|
September 5, 2005 |
34% |
21% |
15% |
17% |
13% |
|
Registered
Democrats |
Ferrer |
Weiner |
Fields |
Miller |
Undecided |
|
September 12, 2005 |
34% |
29% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
|
September 9, 2005 |
34% |
27% |
13% |
14% |
12% |
|
September 5,
2005 |
32% |
17% |
13% |
15% |
23% |
|
August 2005 |
30% |
13% |
19% |
15% |
23% |
|
July 2005 |
36% |
14% |
19% |
14% |
17% |
|
June 2005 |
38% |
12% |
24% |
13% |
13% |
· Democratic candidates still getting only lukewarm support: Many Democrats who have a preference do not strongly support their candidate. 48% of registered Democrats who support a candidate say they are strongly committed to their choice. 32% say they somewhat support their choice, and 18% say they might vote differently on primary day. 2% are unsure. 52% of Fernando Ferrer’s supporters say they are firmly committed to their choice although this is down from 67% four years ago. Only 40% of Anthony Weiner’s supporters are strongly committed to him.
Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate name),
somewhat support (candidate name), or do you think that you might vote differently on primary day?
|
Registered Democrats |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
September 12, 2005 |
48% |
32% |
18% |
2% |
|
September 7, 2001 |
54% |
24% |
19% |
3% |
|
Fernando Ferrer |
|
|
|
|
|
September
12, 2005 |
52% |
29% |
16% |
3% |
|
September
9, 2005 |
43% |
34% |
20% |
3% |
|
September
5, 2005 |
43% |
26% |
29% |
2% |
|
35% |
29% |
33% |
3% |
|
|
September 7, 2001 |
67% |
18% |
12% |
3% |
|
Anthony Weiner |
|
|
|
|
|
September
12, 2005 |
40% |
38% |
21% |
1% |
|
September
9, 2005 |
32% |
43% |
24% |
1% |
|
September
5, 2005 |
36% |
36% |
26% |
2% |
|
August
2005 |
26% |
31% |
43% |
<1% |
|
C. Virginia Fields |
|
|
|
|
|
September
12, 2005 |
53% |
28% |
19% |
<1% |
|
September
9, 2005 |
48% |
28% |
23% |
1% |
|
September
5, 2005 |
44% |
23% |
32% |
1% |
|
August
2005 |
29% |
37% |
25% |
9% |
|
Gifford
Miller |
|
|
|
|
|
September 12, 2005 |
46% |
33% |
19% |
2% |
|
September 9, 2005 |
42% |
33% |
22% |
3% |
|
September 5, 2005 |
35% |
35% |
27% |
3% |
|
August 2005 |
23% |
39% |
36% |
2% |
|
Registered
Democrats |
|
|
|
|
|
September 9, 2005 |
40% |
36% |
22% |
2% |
|
September 5, 2005 |
40% |
30% |
28% |
2% |
|
August 2005 |
30% |
33% |
33% |
4% |
· If there is a runoff between Ferrer and Weiner… If no one receives at least 40% of the vote in tomorrow’s Democratic primary for mayor, the top two finishers will face each other in a runoff two weeks later. A first look at a possible runoff between the two favorites reveals Fernando Ferrer with an early edge over Anthony Weiner.
Question Wording: If none of the candidates in the Democratic primary for mayor gets 40% of the vote, there is a runoff election between the two candidates with the most votes. If there is a runoff, whom would you support if the candidates are: