EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:
Monday 6:00 p.m. November 7, 2005
All
references must be sourced WNBC/Marist Poll
Contact: Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Dr. Barbara L. Carvalho
845.575.5050
This WNBC/Marist Poll reports:
·
Corzine narrowly leads Forrester with just
one day to go: Democrat Jon Corzine edges
Republican Doug Forrester by 5 points among
Question Wording: If the election for governor were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
|
|
Doug Forrester Republican |
Jon Corzine Democrat |
Other |
Undecided |
|
Sunday |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
46% |
51% |
<1% |
3% |
|
Likely Voters |
45% |
51% |
<1% |
4% |
|
Registered Voters |
42% |
49% |
<1% |
9% |
|
Thursday/Friday |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely Voters |
42% |
48% |
<1% |
10% |
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
44% |
49% |
<1% |
7% |
|
Registered Voters |
38% |
48% |
1% |
13% |
|
Thursday Only |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely Voters |
42% |
46% |
<1% |
12% |
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
43% |
48% |
<1% |
9% |
|
Registered Voters |
36% |
48% |
1% |
15% |
|
Wednesday Only |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely Voters |
38% |
51% |
1% |
10% |
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
39% |
53% |
1% |
7% |
|
Registered Voters |
35% |
47% |
1% |
17% |
|
October 28, 2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely
Voters |
40% |
50% |
1% |
9% |
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
41% |
51% |
1% |
7% |
|
Registered
Voters |
38% |
47% |
<1% |
15% |
|
October 10, 2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
Likely
Voters |
43% |
44% |
<1% |
13% |
|
Likely Voters w/ Leaners |
45% |
47% |
<1% |
8% |
|
Registered
Voters |
38% |
45% |
<1% |
17% |
· Intensity of voters’ support for candidates is strong: 69% of likely voters who have a preference in the race for governor strongly support their candidate. 26% say they somewhat support their choice, and only 5% say they might vote differently on Election Day. 66% of Doug Forrester’s supporters say they are firmly committed to him compared with 71% of Jon Corzine’s supporters who say they strongly support their choice.
Question Wording: Would you say that you strongly support (candidate name), somewhat support (candidate name), or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day?
|
Likely Voters |
Strongly Support |
Somewhat Support |
Might Vote Differently |
Unsure |
|
Sunday |
69% |
26% |
5% |
<1% |
|
Doug Forrester |
66% |
28% |
6% |
<1% |
|
Jon Corzine |
71% |
24% |
5% |
<1% |
|
Thursday/Friday |
70% |
23% |
6% |
1% |
|
Doug Forrester |
65% |
26% |
8% |
1% |
|
Jon Corzine |
74% |
20% |
5% |
1% |
|
October 28, 2005 |
65% |
26% |
8% |
1% |
|
Doug Forrester |
61% |
28% |
9% |
2% |
|
Jon Corzine |
68% |
23% |
8% |
1% |
· Voters overwhelmingly see campaign as about attacks not issues: 84% of registered voters believe the candidates for governor have spent the campaign attacking each other rather than talking about the issues. Only 8% think the campaign has focused more on the issues.
Question Wording: In general, do you feel that the candidates for governor have spent more time talking about their positions on the issues or attacking each other?
|
Registered Voters |
Talking Issues |
Attacking Each Other |
Unsure |
|
Sunday |
8% |
84% |
8% |
|
Thursday/Friday |
14% |
75% |
11% |
|
October 28, 2005 |
13% |
78% |
9% |
|
October
10, 2005 |
29% |
58% |
13% |
·
Voters mixed in their perceptions of the
candidates: 44% of registered voters
have a favorable impression of Doug Forrester compared with 50% who have an
unfavorable view of him. Jon Corzine is
viewed positively by 46% of voters and negatively by 49%.
Question Wording: In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Doug Forrester/Jon Corzine?
|
Registered Voters |
Favorable |
Unfavorable |
Unsure/Never Heard |
|
Doug Forrester |
|
|
|
|
Sunday |
44% |
50% |
6% |
|
Thursday/Friday |
43% |
47% |
10% |
|
October 28, 2005 |
46% |
41% |
13% |
|
October 10, 2005 |
52% |
33% |
15% |
|
Jon Corzine |
|
|
|
|
Sunday |
46% |
49% |
5% |
|
Thursday/Friday |
50% |
45% |
5% |
|
October
28, 2005 |